Week 2 December: The Comeback Week
Week 1 of December was ugly. A single bad day—-$3,974 on just 4 trades—put me in a hole. But week 2 told a different story.
The Numbers
| Date | P/L | Trades |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 8 | +$1,097.68 | 21 |
| Dec 9 | +$298.98 | 18 |
| Dec 10 | +$1,439.66 | 24 |
| Dec 11 | +$1,690.94 | 30 |
| Dec 12 | +$1,232.20 | 19 |
Week 2 Total: $5,759.46 on 112 trades
That’s an average of $1,152/day and $51.42/trade.
Month-to-Date
| Week | P/L | Trades |
|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | -$1,030.38 | 68 |
| Week 2 | +$5,759.46 | 112 |
December Total: $4,729.08
After being down over $1k, the account is now up almost $5k. The swing from week 1 to week 2: +$6,789.
What Changed
The December 2nd disaster was a sizing and discipline failure. Three contracts on /GC, wrong direction, held too long. One trade: -$2,508.60. That single trade was larger than any of my winning days this month.
Week 2, I went back to basics:
- Smaller position sizes — Mostly 1-lot trades, occasionally scaling in
- Faster exits — Average win duration: 2 min 25 sec
- Short bias — 63% of trades were shorts (114 vs 66 longs)
The Duration Data Still Holds
My win rate by trade duration this month:
| Duration | Win Rate |
|---|---|
| Under 15 sec | 72.7% |
| 15-45 sec | 81.4% |
| 45 sec - 1 min | 100% |
| 1-2 min | 58.1% |
| 2-5 min | 77.8% |
| 5-10 min | 30.0% |
The pattern is clear: my edge lives in quick trades. The 5-10 minute trades are where the blowups happen. That December 2nd loss? Held for over 10 minutes.
The Lesson
Week 1 was a reminder of what happens when I break my rules. Week 2 was proof that the edge works when I follow them.
Best trade of the month: +$701.40 — Short 3 /GC, in at 4225.7, out at 4223.3. Under 2 minutes.
Worst trade of the month: -$2,508.60 — Long 3 /GC, in at 4260.8, out at 4252.5. Held way too long.
Same instrument. Same size. Completely different outcomes based on execution and discipline.
What’s Next
December is halfway done. If I can maintain the week 2 pace and avoid another week 1 disaster, this could be a $10k+ month.
The rules going forward:
- No trades over 5 minutes. If it’s not working, get out.
- Respect the loss. One bad trade can erase a week of gains.
- Stay in the zone. 15-second to 2-minute trades are where I win.
Five green days in a row. Let’s keep building.